Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 4.149445 4.938016 5.815029 6.859750 8.067220 9.415717 11.032381
2025-09-21 2.996042 4.003828 5.239604 6.854165 8.894222 11.371282 14.589853
2025-09-28 2.283461 3.364172 4.801186 6.824908 9.569617 13.126490 18.041463
2025-10-05 1.949695 3.115842 4.773529 7.254226 10.813822 15.668082 22.702359
2025-10-12 1.649147 2.838070 4.632914 7.467645 11.740854 17.830592 27.020580
2025-10-19 1.441580 2.652160 4.580575 7.774490 12.800262 20.239020 31.859665
2025-10-26 1.217880 2.392185 4.363052 7.779592 13.379048 21.967055 35.821759
2025-11-02 0.993129 2.083857 4.012482 7.509797 13.474078 22.941739 38.694254
2025-11-09 0.815099 1.823865 3.699635 7.250370 13.537159 23.842810 41.487418
2025-11-16 0.705660 1.673958 3.557973 7.263428 14.044853 25.478391 45.546847
2025-11-23 0.614692 1.543260 3.430589 7.280496 14.550036 27.134034 49.739422
2025-11-30 0.529327 1.407014 3.270376 7.210998 14.883328 28.509682 53.541996
2025-12-07 0.431479 1.223601 2.989687 6.877460 14.706844 29.007791 55.926890
2025-12-14 0.373332 1.122333 2.866956 6.846215 15.100607 30.550503 60.251301
2025-12-21 0.323470 1.030481 2.749799 6.809480 15.475384 32.080579 64.651405
2025-12-28 0.309026 1.029846 2.841968 7.235609 16.820653 35.515331 72.743608
2026-01-04 0.283238 0.991828 2.838971 7.447841 17.740562 38.199831 79.604481
2026-01-11 0.264881 0.971319 2.875606 7.753752 18.882822 41.388311 87.602364
2026-01-18 0.234303 0.906329 2.789003 7.758779 19.374509 43.324146 93.314843
2026-01-25 0.196588 0.808474 2.599386 7.489606 19.232892 43.973403 96.558596
2026-02-01 0.164981 0.721723 2.424078 7.230792 19.084459 44.588930 99.760187
2026-02-08 0.146735 0.676777 2.358781 7.243817 19.561277 46.531625 105.729813
2026-02-15 0.130794 0.635811 2.298106 7.260844 20.047349 48.522661 111.907282